Affordable Today, Uncertain Tomorrow — The Rise of Narrow Homes in Central Tokyo
Tokyo’s housing market is undergoing a structural shift. As condominium prices in the city’s most desirable areas surge beyond the reach of average buyers, a growing segment of households is turning to ultra-compact detached homes — known as “pencil houses” — as the last affordable foothold in central Tokyo.
Condo Prices Are Racing Ahead
According to Tokyo Kantei’s July 2025 data, the average price of a 70 sq.m. used condominium in the Tokyo 23 wards reached ¥103.33 million in June, up 2.4% month-on-month and nearly 40% year-on-year. In the central 6 wards (Chiyoda, Chuo, Minato, Shinjuku, Bunkyo, and Shibuya), prices averaged ¥164.15 million, marking 29 consecutive months of increases.