Risks

How to avoid mistakes when choosing a real estate agent -Perennial Ryote-torihiki(両手取引) and Kakoikomi(囲い込み) problem-

 

As the book ‘Freakonomics’ (2005 by Steven Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner.) describes

“information is a beacon, a cudgel, an olive branch, a deterrent―all depending on who wields it and how.

It is common for one party to a transaction to have better information than another party.

In the parlance of economists, such a case is known as an information asymmetry.

If you were to assume that many experts use their information to your detriment, you’d be right.

Experts depend on the fact that you don’t have the information they do.”

A real estate agent may see you not so much as an ally but as a mark.”

Too fazing?

Like in the US, many Japanese people believe that the real estate industry in Japan is quite shady.

All the real estate agents are strictly regulated by Building Lots and Buildings Transaction Business Act for both

rent and sales.

The regulations say ‘a Designated Examination Body must appoint examiners to administer qualification Examinations for Real Estate transaction specialists

(hereinafter referred to as “Examiners”) from among persons satisfying requirements as specified by an Ordinance of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism and have Examination questions prepared and marked.’

To become a licensed broker, one needs to pass the exam.

Some specialists call themselves ‘real estate consultant’ because they are not licensed.

They are not unlawful, but unlicensed brokers are not allowed to lure any investment and not allowed to become the intermediary

for the transaction.

In the meantime, technically speaking, listing agents could control all the information in multiple offer situations.

Efforts by regulators to increase transparency in the real estate industry have been made continuously and every year regulators issue

the new legislation.

With greater transparency, consumers theoretically can also be more confident of their decision to engage agents, and be able to select the agents who best meet their requirements.

How transparent is the industry in Japan now?

Do you think big names like Mitsui or Sumitomo will see you

as an ally?

The short answer is ‘no’.

In general, buyers have one representative in the transaction and sellers have another.

The sides negotiate back-and-forth towards a deal that would be acceptable to both principals but whose outcome depended on the quality of their representation and negotiation.

Representing both sellers and buyers of the property at the same time is called a double agent in real estate parlance,

it is called a dual agent.

It is called in Japanese 両手取引(ryote torihiki) or ‘double-handed’ transaction by the industry jargon.

If your agent is representing either side only, it is called 片手取引(’katate torihiki’ or ‘single-handed’ transaction)

Dual agency is not illegal in Japan but highly controversial.

Why?

Dual agents are supposed to protect the interests of both parties.

The buyer and seller have diverging goals and are both represented by the same agent or brokerage firm

(who has a great incentive to see the deal completed).

Imagine what would likely to happen?

Yes.

Conflict of interest.

It is very common in this type of deal.

Obviously, the buyer wants as low a price as possible, and the seller wants the opposite.

Like all other developed countries,  real estate agents in Japan, including myself, work on the commission basis for the transactional business.

(I often work as a real estate consultant who is based on a fee)

The statutory rate for the transaction is maxed 3%(of the property price)+60,000 yen.

The problem is that the agent only stands to personally gain an additional $300 (3%) by selling your property for $10,000 more,

which isn’t much reward for a lot of extra work.

It is not solely the fault of the agents, but I venture to say it is a system failure.

In economics parlance, it is called the ‘agency problem’.

Particular incentives and incentive structures explain a very great deal of the financial world which swirls around us.

In capitalism, people respond to incentives and to their opposite, disincentives.

You can’t blame people who are acting very human.

Therefore when you are selling or buying the property, you need to understand the incentive structure which swirls around the industry.

In this sense, you may want to be extra careful if you wish to negotiate the brokerage rate with your agent.

By hammering their brokerage (by giving disincentives),  your property would promise the detriment.

Again it is human nature.

One article in the magazine called ‘ZAI’ in November 2017 by renowned Japanese Diamond publishing company actually

grabbed the media attention by revealing the estimated double-handed transactions.

According to the estimate, the prominent

names like Mitusi,  Sumitomo, Tokyu, Nomura are apparently engaging very actively in the double-handed transactions.

Please see the numbers below. (I listed only 10 companies out of 20 companies)

These are the estimated commission rate which each prominent real estate company generated between 2014 and 2016.

Mitsui Fudosan Realty Network 5.39%

Tokyu Livable 4.15%

Sumitomo Real Estate Sales 5.23%

Nomura Real Estate Group 3.74%

Mitsubishi UFJ Real Estate Sales 3.67%

Century 21 Group 4.40%

Mitsui Sumitomo Trust Real Estate 4.04%

Mizuho Real Estate 3.33%

Daikyo (a part of ORIX group) 4.69%

Odakyu Real Estate 4.43%

* Estimate is based on real estate distribution data of the Real Estate Distribution Promotion Center (They serve as a public interest incorporated foundation)

The estimated commission rate is based on the fee income

announced divided by the transaction volume (sales volume).

I don’t have access to the information source of Real Estate Promotion Center but tried to verify the commission which ZAI magazine released

by analyzing the financial report announced by a few of these companies.

And I landed at 5.1 % for Sumitomo, 4.5 % for Daikyo and 6.5% for Century 21.

And yet, the controversial article by ZAI looks reasonably accurate.

As you can see from the estimated commission rate of the major real estate companies are exceeding 4%, and a few companies are enjoying more than 5% commission rate.

This is most probably because they boast the relatively high commission rate working as ‘dual agents.’

It is illegal if a real estate company intentionally crafts two-hand transactions by concealing the property information without any prior agreement with the seller.

Unfortunately, in Japan’s real estate industry, you often encounter dubious double-handed transactions.

How can they craft such dubious deals?

As a matter of fact, their method is very simple and classic.

The industry has the database system called ‘REINS’ where all the agents list each property when they enter into the intermediate agreement with the seller or buyer.

Once the property is listed with REINS, all the

licensed brokers can access the database and look for a property they seek.

However, even the property is registered with the REINS system, the current rules allow the space for manoeuvring by the seller’s agents.

When sellers agents receive an inquiry from a potential buyer, they can they simply say

“The property has been already closed or under negotiation”.

It is very difficult for the principal parties to know the actual dialogues between sellers agents and buyers agents.

It is called 囲い込み (kakoikomi or boxing)

Kakoikomi by intentionally concealing the information is a violation, but sadly such kakoikomi is common.

The rogue real estate companies consistently disregard the inquiries from buyers agents and wait until sellers compromise the price.

For the seller, kakoikomi creates a significant opportunity cost.

Sellers miss opportunities to sell early.

Also, even they could be left only with the option of lowering price.

Remember the agents can gain only an additional $300 as a brokerage even they work hard and manage to sell your property $10,000 more.

Here classic ‘agency problem’ can be seen on a flip side as well.

The agents do not lose much money by lowering

your property price by $10,000.

Moreover, sellers agents can gain more by crafting the double hand’s transactions even the price is lower.

Unfortunately, the double-handed transaction is extensively practised in Japan.

Why do we have controversial double-handed transactions even though they look so dubious?

First,  dual agencies are not prohibited by law.

And I said earlier the dual agency is very prone to

the conflict of the interest.

Second, it is almost impossible for the consumers to verify if competing offers are actually registered or not if agents are divulging offers to their clients.

On the other hand, even if it is an intermediary company on the side of the buyer, even if it is registered in REINS and looking at the information and applying to the real estate brokerage company on the seller side, he could say, the property has already entered into contract negotiation.”

It is easy to imagine that a strong incentive to do kakoikomi for real estate companies and salespeople who want to increase commission income.

The transparency is a huge issue.

To avoid such kakoikomi, what can you do?

Is it a good idea to go to a small to medium-sized real estate agents?

In my experience, it is not really a matter of

credentials of the company but who your agent (salesperson) is.

The real estate industry often is regarded as the

bunch of small non-corporate shops.

The business model of the agency is so simple, and once you gain the skills of sales and communication, they can enjoy the freedom in corporate life.

What matter is the individual performance, not the brand of the company?

What about medium and small-sized real estate brokerage companies?

The size of the company does not matter much.

Even if it is not a major real estate brokerage company, by posting the property information on the internet,

there is a good possibility of finding a seller.

Also, there are local and small real estate agents that are strong in certain areas, and they tend to have a lot of property information and information on local buyers.

They have a strong connection with the landowners and landlords of the areas.

The most important thing you need to remember is that the sellers (and buyers) should ask agents a few questions including double-handed transaction

to assess the integrity and attitude of real estate brokerage firm or sales representatives.

You do not know if their answer is genuine; however, at least, by asking such questions you will look sophisticated and don’t look like a mark for the agents.


In conclusion, here are some tips about how you can avoid pitfalls in Japan.

・Notable brands are not the guarantee of the quality of the service.

When you choose the agents, you also need to choose a person in charge of your property.

If you are not happy with a person for some reason, please ask the manager to change the person.

・Try to avoid a salesperson who is overly pushy.

They may keep sending information of the properties even if they don’t match your criteria.

He or she may just be desperate to make a transaction.

・Internet is the currency of the internet. It compresses the gap between experts and consumers.

Please do your homework by studying the relevant information on the web sites service like

AT HOME or SUUMO before you choose your agents.

It is recommended that you interview a few agents before choosing your agent.

Each agent should have strengths in their sales and marketing.

Please ask your agents if they are willing to make a deal by the single-handed transaction.

They could try to craft the double-handed transaction, but your question will give them good pressure.

・Choosing agents who offer the lowest commission rate is not a necessarily good idea.

By choosing such an agent, your property could lose priority in their mind. Reduced commission means reduced marketing effort.

It will negatively affect your agents.

・Look for someone who is committed with integrity.

Integrity is always a key for success from a business perspective.

・Make sure your agent is focused on the value, not just the price

Your real estate agent should be able to accurately estimate the value of your property and set up a price that accurately reflects the value.

Moreover, when you are briefed the estimated price, please ask them the logic and story they sell.

両手取引 (ryote torihiki, in Japanese)

囲い込み(kakoikomi , in Japanese)


(Shimanto river in Kochi pref)

Toshihiko Yamamoto
Real estate investing consultant and author.
Toshihiko is currently writing a book about real estate investing in Japan
for foreign investors.  About the book
Founder of Yamamoto Property Advisory in Tokyo.
International property Investment consultant and licensed
real estate broker (Japan).
He serves the foreign companies and individuals to buy and sell
the real estates in Japan as well as own homes.
He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Economics from
Osaka Prefecture University in Japan
and an MBA from Bond University in Australia 

 

 

Real estate investment Japan : Liquefaction risk caused by earthquake in Tokyo


(Nebuta, Aomori)
Japan is subject to many wind and water related disasters due to the fact that much of the land is steeply inclined and experiences a lot of rain. In addition, typhoons also hit Japan from summer to fall.
Located in an area where many continental plates meet, Japan also experience earthquakes and volcanic eruptions.
Although Japan is a disaster-prone country, there is no need to be overly concerned.
We have some preparation measures. For example, here In Japan, every resident with a mobile phone receives a text message warning of imminent quakes.
Many disasters are small in scale, and Japan has accumulated knowledge on how to deal with disasters through past experience.
Secondary disasters that occur after the quake also characterize major earthquakes. If you and your property are near the coast, there may be a risk of tsunami.
According to an article in Economist in February 2018, in US,
“there is a 10% chance that in the next 30 years an earthquake between 8.0 and 9.0 in magnitude will rupture the Cascadia subduction zone that runs along the coast of Washington, Oregon and Northern California.
US has no early-warning system.
Mexico, Turkey, Romania, China, Italy, and Taiwan all have systems to warn residents of imminent earthquakes.”
My point is that natural disasters could happen anywhere in the world and thus preparation is very critical.
Many foreign investors ask us about the liquefaction risk in Tokyo area.
Today I am going to discuss the risk of liquefaction caused by the earthquake in Tokyo citing the information released by the local governments.

Read more

Risks in real estate investment in Japan-natural disaster- : How to avoid the earthquake risk

Japan has the risk of earthquake.
You remember the earthquake in Kobe in 1995 and Tsunami disaster in Fukushima in 2011.
Although Japan’s earthquake-resistant technology of buildings is considerably advanced than that of other countries,
we have to be realistic.
In the interest of personal safety and protecting the value of what is likely  your biggest financial asset,
prospective buyers and investors should be aware of any natural disaster risk impacting a potential property purchase.
If the building is broken or collapsed due to an earthquake, you cannot get rent.

In most cases, learning about natural disaster risk will not stop investment, but it will help investors make a better-informed decision about where to buy and preparing in terms of appropriate insurance coverage depending on the type of natural disaster risks most affecting the property.
Unfortunately we don’t have a comprehensive ‘natural disaster risk score’ covering whole Japan announced by the government or a certain institute but on the  prefecture and city level, many prefectures and cities
release ‘hazard maps’ to show the risks of natural disasters
in the area.
Read more

Unpaid rent risk : Risks in private real estate investment in Japan (Part3)

Obviously, getting tenants is a prerequisite for making money from your rental property. However, getting just any tenant does not guarantee your investment.
If you get bad tenants, you run the risk of your rent not being paid on time while repayment for loan and maintenance costs being accumulated.
Additionally, depending on how bad your tenants are, your rental property might get more damaged that normal use.
If you have a really bad tenant, you might even have to deal with an eviction.
Today I will discuss the risk of rent being unpaid and how to eschew the risk.
If you own investment real estate, there are expenses you have to pay monthly.
・Payment of administrative expenses · repair and maintenance.
・Monthly repayment for loan
If there is rent income properly every month
you can pay the above cost from the rent, but once the rent is unpaid your income statement will become negative.
How to deal with unpaid rent ?

Read more

High yielding, guaranteed rent should be too good to be true ?: ‘Kabocha no basha’ subletting problem in Japan


Pitfall of sub-leasing(sub-letting) real estate investment

High yielding, guaranteed rent(sub-leasing)  should be too good to be true ?
Recently one of the scandals which rattled the industry is KABOCHA-NO-BASHA
(Pumpkin Carriage) problem.
The background of the scandal is as follows.
Investors were guaranteed a fixed monthly amount over an extended period if they invested money by contracting with a real estate company called Smart Days(Tokyo)
that used the funds to set up and manage share house facilities under sub-leasing agreement.
Since 2015, Smart Days, operator of women-only share houses called Kabocha no Basha (Pumpkin Carriage), has promoted high yield investments through the media and has mainly acquired customers of office workers. In the sub-leasing contract, rent payment collected through the sub-leasing is sought to pay back the debt for a long period plus small profit.
For example, suppose you borrow 100 million yen from a bank and the monthly repayment amount is 500,000 yen, if you earn rental income of 550,000 yen a month, it will generate 50,000 yen a month profit. This system is typical leveraging in the real estate investing and there is no red flag about it.
In an ideal setting, Smart days as the sub-leasing company would rent out rooms to tenants and bring in a steady and continuous supply of rent, a portion of which would go to the investors.The shared house with shared toilets and bathrooms is not as wide as 7 m² in living space, but the initial cost of moving in is kept low (so they say), and it was expected that more women moving into Tokyo from rural cities will choose to stay in these share houses.Smart days also promoted the business to support tenants finding a job (This is an alarming part)

Read more

Vacancy risk: Risks in private real estate investment in Japan (Part2)


Vacancy risk
Previously I discussed the defect risks when you acquire the property.
Today I will discuss the risks while you are owning the property.
In fact, there are several challenges while you own and manage the property.
Vacancy is one of them.
Vacant rooms obviously do not generate any income so it is very important
to fill your property (whether it is a rental house or a small multiunit rental property) with good, rent-paying tenants.
However in practice, you will see vacant rooms for certain time period over the years and there are tenants who don’t honor the leasing contract.
Let’s look at the ‘vacancy risk’ and how to mitigate such risk.
The beauty of real estate investment in Japan is that your can expect very
stable income every month. Rents are usually  paid monthly.
Therefore finding stable trustworthy tenants is a key for success.
However, due to certain reasons such as inconvenient location of the property,
Investors may face the situation where the property being vacant.
If your occupancy rate is very poor, you may have the problems to pay back
the loan. That is the ‘vacancy risk’.

Read more

Hidden Defects : Risks in private real estate investment in Japan (Part1)


There are risks associated with any investment – loss of capital, finance, leverage and liquidity risks and so on.

Not like buying the paper assets such as REITS, many of these are only relevant to the direct investment (where the investor invests, owns and has control over the real estate asset).
This article will highlight the main risks associated with investing in real estate in Japan and provides commentary on how to analyse and mitigate these risks.
Today I am going to discuss the risks at time of acquisition.
Unlike regulated industries such as accounting and financial planning, working for a property company (as distinct from working as a traditional real estate agent),
does not require a great deal of education, experience, or study prowess. Marketing investment property requires nothing really but the ability to sell.

That is one of the reasons why there are unlicensed (often rogue )
‘property consultants’ in Japan.
Engaging in the marketing activity to lure the investors without holding a license is against the
Building Lots and Buildings Transaction Business Law. If your consultant or agent do not hold
the license, your contract is not protected by the said law.

For more information, please see my post on February 11, 2018.
Are there any rogue real estate agents in Japan ?
At the end of the day, even the good agents cannot guarantee the success of the investment and thus investors must learn the risks and returns
before they make a investment.

Read more